In recognition of the impact of climate change on marine ecosystems worldwide, integrated research teams have coupled climate change projections with social-ecological models to inform management and evaluate adaptation strategies for the fishing industry and fishing communities. A key step in this process is the selection of scenarios that enable improved adaptation strategies and decision-making through engagements with constituents with diverse interests in the future use of marine resources. This paper presents an approach to selecting and refining climate-informed social-ecological scenarios for groundfish and crab fisheries in the eastern Bering Sea. The approach involved: (a) initial model development to provide worked examples; (b) engagement with stakeholders to seek input on climate-related concerns, priorities, and adaptation options; and (c) establishment of pathways for uptake of climate-informed decision support information into existing management systems. This approach narrowed the range of candidate scenarios, identified pressing climate concerns of constituents, and clarified timelines for scheduling modeling projects to address these concerns. Separating evaluation of management strategies (research modeling) from proposed changes to Fishery Management Plans preserved opportunities for public debate of proposed changes through a well-established regulatory review process. Collectively, these outcomes help to advance the development of a regionally relevant climate-ready harvest policy.

中文翻译：

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制定白令海东部渔业气候知情管理方案

认识到气候变化对全球海洋生态系统的影响，综合研究团队将气候变化预测与社会生态模型结合起来，为渔业和渔业社区的管理提供信息并评估适应策略。这一过程的一个关键步骤是选择情景，通过与对未来海洋资源的使用具有不同利益的三方人士的接触，改进适应战略和决策。本文提出了一种为白令海东部底栖鱼类和螃蟹渔业选择和完善气候知情的社会生态情景的方法。该方法涉及： (a) 初始模型开发以提供工作示例； (b) 与利益攸关方接触，寻求有关气候相关问题、优先事项和适应方案的意见； (c) 建立将气候知情决策支持信息纳入现有管理系统的途径。这种方法缩小了候选情景的范围，确定了三方成员紧迫的气候问题，并明确了安排建模项目以解决这些问题的时间表。将管理策略（研究模型）的评估与渔业管理计划的拟议变更分开，通过完善的监管审查流程保留了对拟议变更进行公开辩论的机会。总的来说，这些成果有助于推动制定与区域相关的气候就绪收获政策。