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Should we ignore SARS-CoV-2 disease?
Epidemiology & Infection ( IF 4.2 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-20 , DOI: 10.1017/s0950268824000487
Igor Nesteruk

Current World Health Organization (WHO) reports claim a decline in COVID-19 testing and reporting of new infections. To discuss the consequences of ignoring severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, the endemic characteristics of the disease in 2023 with the ones estimated before using 2022 data sets are compared. The accumulated numbers of cases and deaths reported to the WHO by the 10 most infected countries and global figures were used to calculate the average daily numbers of cases DCC and deaths DDC per capita and case fatality rates (CFRs = DDC/DCC) for two periods in 2023. In some countries, the DDC values can be higher than the upper 2022 limit and exceed the seasonal influenza mortality. The increase in CFR in 2023 shows that SARS-CoV-2 infection is still dangerous. The numbers of COVID-19 cases and deaths per capita in 2022 and 2023 do not demonstrate downward trends with the increase in the percentages of fully vaccinated people and boosters. The reasons may be both rapid mutations of the coronavirus, which reduced the effectiveness of vaccines and led to a large number of re-infections, and inappropriate management.



中文翻译:

我们应该忽视 SARS-CoV-2 疾病吗?

目前世界卫生组织 (WHO) 的报告称,新感染病例的 COVID-19 检测和报告有所下降。为了讨论忽视严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒-2 (SARS-CoV-2) 感染的后果,我们将 2023 年该疾病的流行特征与使用 2022 年数据集之前估计的流行特征进行了比较。根据感染最严重的10个国家向世界卫生组织报告的累计病例数和死亡人数以及全球数据,计算出两个时期的人均日均病例数DCC和死亡数DDC以及病死率(CFRs = DDC/DCC ) 2023年。在一些国家,DDC值可能高于2022年上限并超过季节性流感死亡率。 2023 年病死率的增加表明 SARS-CoV-2 感染仍然危险。 2022年和2023年的人均COVID-19病例数和死亡人数并没有随着完全接种疫苗和加强接种者比例的增加而呈现下降趋势。原因可能既是冠状病毒的快速突变导致疫苗有效性降低并导致大量再次感染,也是管理不当。

更新日期:2024-03-20
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