Reevaluating Earthquake Fatalities in the Taiwan Region: Toward More Accurate Assessments,Seismological Research Letters

当前位置： X-MOL 学术 › Seismol. Res. Lett. › 论文详情

Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)

Reevaluating Earthquake Fatalities in the Taiwan Region: Toward More Accurate Assessments
Seismological Research Letters ( IF 3.3 ) Pub Date : 2024-05-01 , DOI: 10.1785/0220230353
Yang Shi _{1,

2,

3} , Yilong Li _{1,

2} , Zhenguo Zhang _{2,

3,

4}

Affiliation

Earthquakes occurring in the Taiwan region have the potential to cause significant damage and loss of life. To ensure an effective emergence response and mitigate the impact of seismic events, it is imperative to develop an earthquake fatality prediction model that incorporates the Taiwan region’s seismic background, geological context, and socioeconomic level. This research article analyzes 35 historically damaging earthquakes in the Taiwan region, considering their fatality records, macroseismic intensities (modified Mercalli shaking intensity scale), and population exposure, to propose a specific seismic fatality ratio applicable to the Taiwan region. The model incorporates adjustments based on the gross national income per capita to address temporal and spatial disparities resulting from socioeconomic development. The predicted results highlight the superior performance of this fatality estimation model compared to other existing models. Furthermore, the earthquake fatality estimation model for the Taiwan region differs significantly from the models employed for South China and Qinghai–Tibet, suggesting variations in geological background, earthquake‐resistant structures, and seismic resilience of society between the Taiwan region and mainland China. Moreover, a comparison with the U.S. Geological Survey model for the Taiwan region reveals that previous evaluations of the Taiwan region earthquakes greatly underestimated the number of fatalities.

更新日期：2024-04-24

点击分享查看原文

点击收藏

阅读更多本刊最新论文本刊介绍/投稿指南

全部期刊列表>>