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The influence of parental cancer on the mental health of children and young adults: Evidence from Norwegian register data on healthcare consultations (by Øystein Kravdal, Jonathan Wörn, Rannveig Hart, Bjørn-Atle Reme) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-04-10 Øystein Kravdal, Jonathan Wörn, Rannveig Hart, Bjørn-Atle Reme
Objective: The aim was to examine how parental cancer affects the mental health of offspring aged 6–30, and age variations in this effect. Methods: Individual fixed-effects models were estimated from register data covering the entire Norwegian population in 2010–2018. The outcome variable was whether the individual (offspring) had at least one consultation within a year with a general practitioner
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The importance of education for understanding variability of dementia onset in the United States (by Hyungmin Cha, Chi-Tsun Chiu, Mark D. Hayward, Mateo Farina) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-04-09 Hyungmin Cha, Mateo Farina, Chi-Tsun Chiu, Mark D. Hayward
Background: Greater levels of education are associated with lower risk of dementia, but less is known about how education is also associated with the compression of dementia incidence. Objective: We extend the literature on morbidity compression by evaluating whether increased levels of education are associated with greater dementia compression. We evaluate these patterns across race and gender groups
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The importance of correcting for health-related survey non-response when estimating health expectancies: Evidence from The HUNT Study (by Fred Schroyen) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-04-05 Fred Schroyen
Background: Most studies on health expectancies rely on self-reported health from surveys to measure the prevalence of disabilities or ill health in a population. At best, such studies only correct for sample selection based on a limited number of characteristics observed on the invitees. Objective: Using longitudinal data from the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), I investigate the extent to which adjustments
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How lifespan and life years lost equate to unity (by Annette Baudisch, Jose Manuel Aburto) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-04-04
Background: Life expectancy at birth (e0), life years lost at death (e†), and lifetable entropy (H) are key indicators that capture average lifespan and lifespan variation. Expressions and relationships among these summary measures form the basis to analytically derive a range of formal demographic relationships, that build on each other and together help create new insights. Even though many elegant
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Age-heterogamous partnerships: Prevalence and partner differences by marital status and gender composition (by Tony Silva, Christine Percheski) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-04-03 Tony Silva, Christine Percheski
Objective: We examine age heterogamy in the United States and its associations with other partnership characteristics following the nationwide legalization of same-sex marriage in 2015. Methods: We use American Community Survey data for 2017–2021 to examine age gaps in over 3.3 million couples, differentiating by couple gender composition (man-man, man-woman, woman-woman) and marital status (cohabiting
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Subnational contribution to life expectancy and life span variation changes: Evidence from the United States (by Wen Su, Alyson van Raalte, Jose Manuel Aburto, Vladimir Canudas-Romo) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-28 Wen Su, Alyson van Raalte, Jose Manuel Aburto, Vladimir Canudas-Romo
Background: The US life expectancy has been stagnating in recent decades, and along with this, the time trends of life span variation have shown stagnation and even increases with respect to historical levels. Objective: We aim to disentangle contributions from subnational levels (US regions) to national changes in life expectancy and life span variation in 2010–2019 and 2019–2020. Methods: A decomposition
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Religion and contraceptive use in Kazakhstan: A study of mediating mechanisms (by Maxim Kan) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-27 Maxim Kan
Background: Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, religiosity has resurged in post-Soviet Kazakhstan. However, since the late 1990s, research on religion’s impact on contraceptive use and differences between religious groups has been lacking. Islam and Christianity align with the major ethnicities, Kazakhs and Russians, and show variation in fertility and demographic transition stages. Objective:
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Differences in mortality before retirement: The role of living arrangements and marital status in Denmark (by Serena Vigezzi, Cosmo Strozza) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-26 Serena Vigezzi, Cosmo Strozza
Background: To make the pension system robust to population ageing, Denmark will increase the statutory retirement age in tandem with national life expectancy. By universally increasing this age, this pension indexation policy might amplify known inequalities in mortality, such as those between people in different living arrangements. Objective: We aim to quantify inequalities in mortality before retirement
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Housework time and task segregation: Revisiting gender inequality among parents in 15 European countries (by Joan García Román, Ariane Ophir) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-22 Joan García Román, Ariane Ophir
Background: Although most countries show a general convergence in men’s and women’s investment in domestic labor, women continue doing more housework, especially among couples with children. However, cross-national descriptive estimates have focused exclusively on routine tasks, thus overlooking potential change in gender inequality in non-routine tasks, as well as the total housework investment, which
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Mortality inequalities at retirement age between migrants and non-migrants in Denmark and Sweden (by Julia Callaway, Cosmo Strozza, Sven Drefahl, Eleonora Mussino, Ilya Kashnitsky) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-19 Julia Callaway, Cosmo Strozza, Sven Drefahl, Eleonora Mussino, Ilya Kashnitsky
Background: Denmark and Sweden index their statutory retirement ages to life expectancy. When lifespan increases, so does retirement age. This policy does not consider demographic heterogeneity in life expectancy, e.g., between migrants and non-migrants, posing possible issues for pension policies that index retirement age to life expectancy. Objective: To understand how mortality inequalities between
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Racial classification as a multistate process (by Jerônimo Muniz, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, Aliya Saperstein) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-07 Jerônimo Muniz, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, Aliya Saperstein
Background: Although the existence of racial fluidity is generally accepted in both Brazil and the United States, changes in racial classification over the life course are often not incorporated into standard demographic estimates. Objective: By taking a multistate perspective on the variability of racial classification, we can use demographic methods to ask new questions about the nature of racial
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The big decline: Lowest-low fertility in Uruguay (2016–2021) (by Wanda Cabella, Ignacio Pardo, Gabriela Pedetti, Mariana Fernández Soto) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-06
Background: In recent years, fertility rates have declined substantially in most Latin American countries. Uruguay has been at the forefront of this regional process, as the country’s total fertility rate plummeted from 2 children per woman in 2015 to 1.37 in 2021 (and continued to drop to 1.28 in 2022, according to preliminary data). Objective: We decompose fertility decline by age and birth order
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Losing the female survival advantage: Sex differentials in infant and child mortality in Pakistan (by Batool Zaidi) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-05 Batool Zaidi
Objective: To understand patterns of gender discrimination by exploring whether the risk of dying during infancy and childhood is correlated with not only the sex and birth order of the child but also the sex composition of previous siblings. Methods: Event history analysis (Cox proportional hazards model) is applied to pooled data from the 2006–2007, 2012–2013, and 2017–2018 rounds of the Pakistan
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Religious affiliation and child mortality in Ireland: A country-wide analysis based on the 1911 Census (by Lucia Pozzi, Francesco Scalone, Michail Raftakis, Liam Kennedy) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Lucia Pozzi, Francesco Scalone, Michail Raftakis, Liam Kennedy
Background: Previous studies have identified a link between religious affiliation and child mortality, yet the underlying factors that contributed to this association are not fully understood. Objective: This study investigates how religious affiliation impacted child mortality in early 20th century Ireland, controlling for socioeconomic status, literacy, and place of residence at both the individual
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Cohort fertility of immigrants to Israel from the former Soviet Union (by Gustavo Shifris, Barbara S. Okun) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-02-29 Gustavo Shifris, Barbara S. Okun
Background: The political and economic change accompanying the collapse of the Soviet Union triggered a large wave of immigrants to Israel during the 1990s. These immigrants arrived from low-fertility contexts to a higher-fertility society. Objective: We consider how the fertility of cohorts of diverse immigrant women from a low fertility context shifts in the context of high fertility. Methods: We
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Ageing and diversity: Inequalities in longevity and health in low-mortality countries (by Cosmo Strozza, Viviana Egidi, Maria Rita Testa, Graziella Caselli) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Cosmo Strozza, Viviana Egidi, Maria Rita Testa, Graziella Caselli
Background: Longevity and old age are two aspects of the same phenomenon, representing a major concern for modern societies. There is universal consensus among scholars about the need for new frameworks and measures to define older people in a more effective and dynamic way. Objective: The aim of this paper is to compute prospective old-age thresholds (POATs) in six countries characterised by disparate
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Longevity à la mode: A discretized derivative tests method for accurate estimation of the adult modal age at death (by Paola Vazquez-Castillo, Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Trifon Missov) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-02-14 Paola Vazquez-Castillo, Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Trifon Missov
Background: The modal age at death (or mode) is an important indicator of longevity associated with different mortality regularities. Accurate estimates of the mode are essential, but existing methods are not always able to provide them. Objective: Our objective is to develop a method to estimate the modal age at death, which is purely based on its mathematical properties. Methods: The mode maximizes
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Measuring short-term mobility patterns in North America using Facebook advertising data, with an application to adjusting COVID-19 mortality rates (by Lindsay Katz, Michael Chong, Monica Alexander) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-02-13
Background: Patterns in short-term population mobility are important to understand, but the data required to measure such movements are often not available from traditional sources. Objective: To investigate patterns in short-term population mobility in all states and provinces in the United States and Canada using data collected from Facebook’s advertising platform. Methods: We collected daily traveler
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Fertility decline, changes in age structure, and the potential for demographic dividends: A global analysis (by Markus Dörflinger, Elke Loichinger) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Markus Dörflinger, Elke Loichinger
Background: The demographic dividend, a concept that is widely used in development cooperation, describes the economic growth potential based on shifts towards a large share of working-age population in the course of the demographic transition. However, a long-term global country-level assessment of the underlying changes in the working-age population and associated demographic factors is missing.
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War and mobility: Using Yandex web searches to characterize intentions to leave Russia after its invasion of Ukraine (by Athina Anastasiadou, Artem Volgin, Douglas R. Leasure) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-02-07 Athina Anastasiadou, Artem Volgin, Douglas R. Leasure
Background: Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, many citizens left Russia due to increasing government repression, the fear of mobilization, or to escape the economic downturn. As yet, reliable statistical data on those who left are not available. Hence, much remains unknown about the characteristics and scope of this population. In the digital age, people prepare their journeys by searching
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Immigrant mortality advantage in the United States during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic (by Eugenio Paglino, Irma T. Elo) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-23 Eugenio Paglino, Irma T. Elo
Objective: To investigate the mortality impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on US-born and foreign-born populations by race and Hispanic origin in the United States in 2020. Methods: Death records from the National Center for Health Statistics and population data from CDC WONDER were used to estimate (1) age-standardized all-cause and cause-specific mortality at ages 25+, 25–64, and 65+ in 2017–2019 and
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The optimal transition to a stationary population for concentrated vitality rates (by Gustav Feichtinger, Stefan Wrzaczek) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-19 Gustav Feichtinger, Stefan Wrzaczek
Background: Several countries nowadays and in the past face a birth rates below replacement level. To what extent should the fertility of this shrinking population be increased during a given planning period such that it approaches stationarity at the end as close as possible? Both immediate adaptation to the replacement level as well as delaying it to the end of the planning period are suboptimal
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Does the fulfillment of contraceptive method preferences affect contraceptive continuation? Evidence from urban Kenya, Nigeria, and Senegal (by Carolina Cardona, David Bishai, Phil Anglewicz) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-18 Carolina Cardona, David Bishai, Phil Anglewicz
Background: Although interest in patient-centered family planning measures is growing, little is known about women’s preferences for contraceptive methods and whether these preferences influence contraceptive behaviors. Objective: We assessed whether the fulfillment of contraceptive preferences affected women’s decisions to continue, switch, or stop using contraception. Methods: Data came from a panel
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Mind the gap: Exploring urban–rural differences in US inter-county migration decisions (by Anqi Xu) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-17 Anqi Xu
Background: Labor and housing market conditions, alongside political climate, are recognized as pivotal drivers for domestic migration. However, limited research examines how urban/rural status of areas influences the interplay between these factors and migration decisions. Objective: This paper investigates urban–rural differences in the effects of employment opportunities, housing affordability,
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Leaving and returning to the parental home during COVID times in France, Italy, Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom (by Francesca Luppi, Alessandro Rosina, Emiliano Sironi) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-16 Francesca Luppi, Alessandro Rosina, Emiliano Sironi
Background: During the first year of the COVID pandemic, many European young adults abandoned or delayed their plans to achieve housing autonomy, especially those facing vulnerable employment conditions and in contexts with limited welfare state provision for the young population. Objective: The present study contributes to this body of knowledge by examining plans and behaviours associated with leaving
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How do environmental stressors influence migration? A meta-regression analysis of environmental migration literature (by Shuai Zhou, Guangqing Chi) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-05 Shuai Zhou, Guangqing Chi
Background: The amount of literature on environmental migration is increasing. However, existing studies exhibit contradictory results. A systematic synthesis of the environment–migration relationship is much needed. Objective: This study summarizes research findings, calculates the effect sizes of environmental stressors, identifies publication bias, and investigates heterogeneous environmental effects
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Lives saved, lives lost, and under-reported COVID-19 deaths: Excess and non-excess mortality in relation to cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden (by Eleonora Mussino, Sven Drefahl, Matthew Wallace, Sunnee Billingsley, Siddartha Aradhya, Gunnar Andersson) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2024-01-04
Background: The number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths differed across countries and across waves of the pandemic. Patterns also differed between groups within a country. Objective: We combine data on excess mortality with data on cause-of-death-specific mortality in the case of Sweden to identify which groups had excess mortality beyond what can be captured by analyses of COVID-19-specific deaths. We
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Bayesian implementation of Rogers–Castro model migration schedules: An alternative technique for parameter estimation (by Jessie Yeung, Monica Alexander, Tim Riffe) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-15 Jessie Yeung, Monica Alexander, Tim Riffe
Background: The Rogers–Castro model migration schedule is a key model for migration trends over the life course. It is applied in a wide variety of settings by demographers to examine the relationship between age and migration intensity. This model is nonlinear and can have up to 13 parameters, which can make estimation difficult. Existing techniques for parameter estimation can lead to issues such
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Programmatic access to open statistical data for population studies: The SDMX standard (by Frans Willekens) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-13 Frans Willekens
Background: The public sector publishes vast amounts of open data and metadata. APIs (application programming interfaces) are transforming the way data are collected, documented, and disseminated. The transformation is slow, however, due to differences in communication protocol, data definition, and data format. The development is of particular relevance to demography, being a data-intensive science
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The formal demography of kinship V: Kin loss, bereavement, and causes of death (by Hal Caswell, Rachel Margolis, Ashton Verdery) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-14
Background: The loss of kin by death has medical, psychological, and social effects on other members of a kinship network. Recent formal demographic models can account for deaths of kin, but not causes of those deaths. Objective: Our objective is to extend the matrix kinship model to analyze losses of any type of kin, at any age at death, due to any cause of death, at any age of a Focal individual
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Marital plans and partnership transitions among German opposite-sex couples: Couple agreement and gender differences (by Dominika Perdoch Sladká) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-12 Dominika Perdoch Sladká
Background: Research shows that marital plans influence marital behavior. However, romantic partners may differ in their marital plans, and these differences can affect relationship outcomes. Objective: The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between agreement in short-term marital plans and partnership transitions in German opposite-sex couples and to find whether there is a gender
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Dynamics of the coefficient of variation of the age at death distribution (by Jacob Martin, Jose Manuel Aburto, Iñaki Permanyer) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-08 Jacob Martin, Jose Manuel Aburto, Iñaki Permanyer
Background: Indicators of lifespan inequality, such as the life table entropy or variance of age at death, provide a measure of inequality in the timing of death. A range of indicators of relative and absolute inequality exist, and their evolution over time and sensitivity to changes in age-specific mortality have been studied. However, the coefficient of variation, a relative indicator defined as
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Analyzing hyperstable population models (by Robert Schoen) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-07 Robert Schoen
Objective: Few methods are available for analyzing populations with changing rates. Here hyperstable models are presented and substantially extended to facilitate such analyses. Methods: Hyperstable models, where a known birth trajectory yields a consistent set of age-specific birth rates, are set out in both discrete and continuous form. Mathematical analysis is used to find new relationships between
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Reducing uncertainty in Delphi surveys: A case study on immigration to the EU (by Rhea Ravenna Sohst, Eduardo Acostamadiedo, Jasper Tjaden) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-06 Rhea Ravenna Sohst, Eduardo Acostamadiedo, Jasper Tjaden
Background: Following the rapid increase of asylum seekers arriving in the European Union in 2015/16, policymakers have invested heavily in improving their foresight and forecasting capabilities. A common method to elicit expert predictions are Delphi surveys. This approach has attracted concern in the literature, given the high uncertainty in experts’ predictions. However, there exists limited guidance
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Changes in birth seasonality in Spain: Data from 1863–1870 and 1900–2021 (by Adela Recio Alcaide, César Pérez López, Francisco Bolúmar Montrull) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Adela Recio Alcaide, César Pérez López, Francisco Bolúmar Montrull
Background: Changes in birth seasonality patterns have been documented in several countries, whether long-lasting or temporary. In Spain, a decline in and absence of birth seasonality was reported in 1941–2000. This study extends the analysis to the full period of available monthly data, exploring changes in birth seasonality in Spain, its connection to social/health phenomena, and its related effects
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Measuring the educational gradient of period fertility in 28 European countries: A new approach based on parity-specific fertility estimates (by Angela Greulich, Laurent Toulemon) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-11-28 Angela Greulich, Laurent Toulemon
Background: Measures of fertility by level of female education are currently only available for cohorts that have already completed childbearing age. The focus on cohorts whose fertility decisions were made in the past is problematic when the objective is to better understand which specific groups within European countries are currently the most affected by low and/or declining fertility. Objective:
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Point estimation of certain measures in organizational demography using variable-r methods (by Michael Lachanski) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-11-16
Background: The distribution of job tenure plays an important role in demography, economics, and sociology. Job tenure in a labor market is analogous to age in a population. Demographers have used indirect methods based on variable-r methods to estimate parameters for life table models. The variable-r method can also be employed to estimate the parameters of a job tenure table model that yields the
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The COVID-19 pandemic and fertility responses: TFR simulation analysis using parity progressions in South Korea (by Seulki Choi, Da eun Kwan, Bongoh Kye) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-11-15 Seulki Choi, Da eun Kwan, Bongoh Kye
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has had a notable impact on marriage and fertility intentions. Existing research has found that the impact of the pandemic on childbearing intentions and outcomes has varied across countries. Yet it remains unclear what the post-COVID-19 fertility rate would be if the changes in childbearing intentions observed during the pandemic translated into corresponding behavioral
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Attitudes toward work and parenthood following family-building transitions in Sweden: Identifying differences by gender and education (by Eva Bernhardt, Frances Goldscheider, Malgorzata Switek) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-11-09 Eva Bernhardt, Frances Goldscheider, Malgorzata Switek
Objective: This paper examines how family-building transitions (union formation and first birth) affect the attitudes of Swedes toward work and parenthood. The literature finds that these life course transitions have a traditionalizing effect on gender roles. Is this also the case in Sweden, one of the most gender-equal countries in the world? Methods: Our study uses the longitudinal Young Adult Panel
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Ultra-Orthodox fertility and marriage in the United States: Evidence from the American Community Survey (by Lyman Stone) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-11-08
Background: Amid low fertility rates in the industrialized world, some subpopulations have maintained high fertility rates. However, it has often been difficult to study these populations due to limitations in extant data sources. Objective: This paper will demonstrate a method of measuring key demographic indicators for Ultra-Orthodox Jews using demographic and language variables in the American Community
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Black–white intermarriage in global perspective (by Edward Telles, Andres Castro, Albert Esteve) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-11-02
Background: Intermarriage is a leading indicator of racialized relations. Scholarly literature has focused on the United States and shows that black–white intermarriage is especially low within that country. Surprisingly, there are no studies that compare black–white intermarriage across a broad range of countries around the world. Objective: How does black–white intermarriage compare in Brazil, Cuba
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The vanishing advantage of longevity in Nicoya, Costa Rica: A cohort shift (by Luis Rosero-Bixby) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-10-18
Background: The Nicoya region in Costa Rica has been identified as one of a handful of hotspots of extreme longevity. The evidence supporting this status comes mostly from observing the 1990 and 2000 decades and cohorts born before 1930. Objective: To determine how the longevity advantage of older men in Nicoya has progressed in the period 1990 to 2020 and in cohorts born from 1900 to 1950. Methods:
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Variable-r in sex ratios: Formulas in honor of Jim Vaupel (by Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Wen Su, Mike Hollingshaus) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-10-17 Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Wen Su, Mike Hollingshaus
Background: Two seminal studies in the 1980s, by Preston and Coale (1982) and Arthur and Vaupel (1984), generalized the Lotka equations developing the variable-r methods. Objective: Time changes in sex ratios (males:females) are studied from the perspective of the variable-r method to estimate the contributions of fertility, mortality, and net-migration. Methods: The time change in sex ratios can be
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Early life exposure to cigarette smoking and adult and old-age male mortality: Evidence from linked US full-count census and mortality data (by Jonas Helgertz, John Robert Warren) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-10-11
Background: Smoking is a leading cause of premature death across contemporary developed nations, but few longitudinal individual-level studies have examined the long-term health consequences of exposure to smoking. Objective: We examine the effect of fetal and infant exposure to exogenous variation in smoking, brought about by state-level cigarette taxation, on adulthood and old-age mortality (ages
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Partnership satisfaction in Czechia during the COVID-19 pandemic (by Martin Kreidl, Barbora Hubatková) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-10-05 Martin Kreidl, Barbora Hubatková
Background: There are several published investigations of family life during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, only a few describe trends in partnership quality, and none do so for the later stages of the pandemic. Objective: We want to show how various measures of partnership quality develop over time and whether trends differ by respondent’s sex and education. Methods: We use non-parametric descriptive
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Do couples who use fertility treatments divorce more? Evidence from the US National Survey of Family Growth (by Anna Barbuscia, Maria Sironi) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-10-04 Anna Barbuscia, Maria Sironi
Background: Undertaking fertility treatment is a stressful process and may lead to couple instability, but high levels of couple satisfaction have usually been observed during or just after treatment. However, the evidence on divorce is scarce. Objective: We investigated the association between the use of a wide range of fertility treatments and marital dissolution in a representative sample of American
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Advanced or postponed motherhood? Migrants’ and natives’ gap between ideal and actual age at first birth in Spain (by Xiana Bueno, Mariona Lozano, Alícia Adserà) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-28 Xiana Bueno, Mariona Lozano, Alícia Adserà
Background: The analysis of migrants’ preferences on the timing of fertility offers insights on how the migration experience and the contextual characteristics at destination might shape migrant women’s expectations and behaviors. Objective: This paper explores the ideal age at first birth among Spanish and foreign-born women in Spain and its gap in relation to the actual age at first birth among those
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Calculating contraceptive prevalence and unmet need for family planning in low-fertility countries with the Generations and Gender Survey (by Judith Koops) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-27 Judith Koops
Background: In Europe, 10%‒40% of adults experience an unintended or sooner-than-intended birth. However, European research on family planning need and use is scarce. Objective: The Generations and Gender Survey is a cross-national panel survey collected in low-fertility settings in Europe, Asia, and South America. This paper demonstrates how to use this dataset to calculate family planning need and
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Religion and union dissolution: Effects of couple and municipal religiosity on divorce and separation (by Willem R. J. Vermeulen, Mioara Zoutewelle-Terovan, Niels Kooiman, Aart C. Liefbroer) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-19 Willem R. J. Vermeulen, Mioara Zoutewelle-Terovan, Niels Kooiman, Aart C. Liefbroer
Background: Several theoretical models argue that divorce risks depend on an individual’s level of religiosity and the level of religiosity in this individual’s spatial context. However, it remains unclear whether the same relationship holds for couples and whether the strength of the effect of couple-level religiosity depends on the level of religiosity in the context (a so-called cross-level interaction
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Describing the Dutch Social Networks and Fertility Study and how to process it (by Gert Stulp) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-08 Gert Stulp
Background: The social networks of people play a prominent role in theories on fertility. Investigating how networks shape behaviour is hard, because of the difficulty in measuring (large) networks among representative samples. Therefore, comprehensive studies of the variation in the structure and composition of networks and their impact on fertility outcomes are lacking. Objective: I aim to, first
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Joint physical custody of children in Europe: A growing phenomenon (by Mia Hakovirta, Daniel R. Meyer, Milla Salin, Eija Lindroos, Mari Haapanen) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-06 Mia Hakovirta, Daniel R. Meyer, Milla Salin, Eija Lindroos, Mari Haapanen
Background: Large-scale cross-country comparisons of children’s physical custody (which parent the child lives with after separation) are dated and limited in the age range of children considered. Objective: We document the level of sole and joint physical custody (JPC, both equal and unequal) for children in European countries using data from 2021. Methods: This article uses a new module on the living
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Partial fertility recuperation in Spain two years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (by Peter Fallesen, Marco Cozzani) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Peter Fallesen, Marco Cozzani
Background: Following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic a host of countries saw drastic fertility declines, followed by a variety of fertility patterns. It remains unclear whether these initial baby busts have been recuperated, and, if so, whether the recuperation occurred homogenously across maternal age groups and parity categories. Objective: We assess period fertility recuperation as the cumulative
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An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan (by Ryohei Mogi, James Raymo, Miho Iwasawa, Shohei Yoda) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-09-01 Ryohei Mogi, James Raymo, Miho Iwasawa, Shohei Yoda
Background: Growth in cohabiting unions and non-marital childbearing sits at the core of research on the second demographic transition and related discussions of family bifurcation and children’s diverging destinies. Objective: How should we think about these two highly influential and purportedly universal depictions of family change in low-fertility countries where the link between marriage and childbearing
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Adolescence in flux: Unmasking 30 years of change in subnational parity-specific adolescent fertility in Mexico (by Ann Garbett, Sara Neal, Angela Luna Hernandez, Nikos Tzavidis) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-31 Ann Garbett, Sara Neal, Angela Luna Hernandez, Nikos Tzavidis
Background: In 2015 Mexico set a goal to halve its adolescent fertility rate and eliminate childbearing among girls 14 years and younger, but the ambitious goal is severely off track. National estimates show stagnation, and while implementation is targeted at the municipal level, little is known about adolescent fertility in Mexican municipalities. Objective: This study estimates trends in subnational
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The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability (by Hal Caswell) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-22 Hal Caswell
Background: Individual lifespans differ. Some of those differences are due to heterogeneity, some to stochasticity. Some of the heterogeneity is due to socioeconomic, physiological, or environmental differences; some to unobserved latent factors. All of these are, from time to time, called inequality. Objective: This paper aims to clarify the relations between heterogeneity, stochasticity, inequality
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Stability in children’s residential arrangements and distance to nonresident parents in the 10 years after parental separation (by Zuzana Žilinčíková, Gabriela Caceres Ojeda Freitas, Christine Schnor) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-18 Zuzana Žilinčíková, Gabriela Caceres Ojeda Freitas, Christine Schnor
Background: Existing studies investigating children’s living arrangements after parental separation and geographic distance to the nonresident parent focus primarily on the situation shortly after separation. Little is known about how children’s residence with and distance to parents evolve with time elapsed since separation. Objective: We investigate for the first 10 years following parental separation
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Use of standard verbal autopsies to improve the mortality data capacity of civil registration and vital statistics systems in low- and middle-income countries: Analysis of key issues (by Nnamdi Maduekwe, Olufunmilayo Banjo, Mike O. Sangodapo, Aisha Abdulazeez) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-16 Nnamdi Maduekwe, Olufunmilayo Banjo, Mike O. Sangodapo, Aisha Abdulazeez
Background: Multidimensional issues confront the use of standard verbal autopsies (SVAs), such as the WHO’s verbal autopsy standards and the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium’s gold standard verbal autopsy, to improve the mortality data performance of civil registration and vital statistics (CRVS) systems in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Objective: This paper attempts an inclusive
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The dynamic role of household structure on under-5 mortality in southern and eastern sub-Saharan Africa (by Ashira Menashe-Oren, Philippe Bocquier, Carren Ginsburg, Yacouba Compaoré, Mark Collinson) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-17 Ashira Menashe-Oren, Philippe Bocquier, Carren Ginsburg, Yacouba Compaoré, Mark Collinson
Background: Children are born and grow up in households, where they receive essential care, including time, socio-psychological support, and economic resources. Children’s immediate environment, captured by household structure, changes over time. Objective: We evaluate the role of dynamic household structure in the risk of child death in southern and eastern Africa. Methods: We use longitudinal data
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Birth month and adult lifespan: A within-family, cohort, and spatial examination using FamiLinx data in the United States (1700–1899) (by Marco Cozzani, Giulia Corti, Saverio Minardi, Nicola Barban) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-15 Marco Cozzani, Saverio Minardi, Giulia Corti, Nicola Barban
Background: Research has shown that the circumstances surrounding birth may influence the timing of death. In the northern hemisphere, children born in spring and summer have a shorter lifespan than those born in fall and winter. Objective: We describe the effect of month of birth on adult lifespan (50+) in the United States in three ways. First, we estimate it between and within groups of siblings
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Women’s employment trajectories in a low-income setting: Stratification and change in Nepal (by Sarah Brauner-Otto, Chih-lan Winnie Yang, Ka U Ng) Demographic Research (IF 2.005) Pub Date : 2023-08-09 Sarah Brauner-Otto, Chih-lan Winnie Yang, Ka U Ng
Background: Across the globe, employment for pay outside the home plays a key role in the lives of women, and increasing the proportion of women involved in high-quality jobs is a critical component of reaching several sustainable development goals. While existing research from high-income societies demonstrates that women’s employment is not constant over the life course, relatively less is known