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Does the absence of share deals distort commercial real estate indicators?

Farley Ishaak (Statistics Netherlands, Den Haag, The Netherlands) (Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands)
Ron van Schie (Statistics Netherlands, Den Haag, The Netherlands)
Jan de Haan (Statistics Netherlands, Den Haag, The Netherlands) (Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands)
Hilde Remøy (Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands)

Journal of European Real Estate Research

ISSN: 1753-9269

Article publication date: 7 September 2023

Issue publication date: 11 October 2023

42

Abstract

Purpose

Commercial real estate (CRE) indicators typically include asset deals and exclude share deals. This study aims to explore the phenomenon of real estate share deals and assess whether omitting these transactions results in indicators that do not accurately reflect the market.

Design/methodology/approach

Various registers in the Netherlands were used to estimate transaction volumes, total values and price developments of both share and asset deals. Share deals are company transfers and its transactions cover more than real estate. To estimate the contribution of real estate in share deals, valuations were used.

Findings

In the Netherlands, share deals are most prominent for rental dwellings. Adding share deals to volume and value indicators seems required. In price development estimates, significant differences were found for dwellings between share and asset deals. Price indices should, therefore, also include share deals, but in practice this is difficult and has little impact on the outcomes due to the low weight of share deals.

Research limitations/implications

Legislation has a major impact on choosing a share or asset deal. The significance of share deals is expected to vary amongst countries. Performing similar research in other countries will contribute in harmonising real estate indicators.

Practical implications

Statistical agencies face many challenges in the construction of CRE indicators. This study provides statisticians knowledge that can be used to evaluate possible data gaps.

Originality/value

This is the first study to estimate indicators of real estate share deals and compare these to asset deal indicators.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank Eurostat for funding parts of the research regarding share deals. The authors are also grateful to the following experts who provided their view on real estate share deals and the commercial real estate market: Tom Berkhout, Bernd Veldman (Tax Authorities), Ronald Gordijn (CBRE), Peter van Gool (ASRE), Rene Spit, Jos Verburg (PelsRijcken), Luca van Silfhout and Jérôme Germann (Loyens & Loeff). The authors also express their appreciation to the following experts who provided assistance on interpreting the data: Rico Konen, Lico Hoekema, Jos Erkens, Leon Custers, Barry Coenen (CBS), Naphtalien Martina (Tax Authorities) and Matthieu Zuidema (Land Registry Office). Furthermore, the authors would like to thank Kees Hagemans (CBS) for performing analyses on the data. Last but not least, the authors are grateful to Peter Boelhouwer (TU Delft) who provided feedback during the entire study.

Citation

Ishaak, F., van Schie, R., de Haan, J. and Remøy, H. (2023), "Does the absence of share deals distort commercial real estate indicators?", Journal of European Real Estate Research, Vol. 16 No. 2, pp. 220-237. https://doi.org/10.1108/JERER-04-2022-0011

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2023, Emerald Publishing Limited

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