Skip to main content
Log in

Factors affecting customer intention to return in online shopping: the roles of expectation disconfirmation and post-purchase dissonance

  • Published:
Electronic Commerce Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study integrates expectation disconfirmation theory and cognitive dissonance theory into a model to explain why individual customers choose to return purchased products. The study uses survey results to test the impact of negative expectation disconfirmation and post-purchase dissonance on consumers’ return intention and confirm that they work as dual mechanisms to independently predict customers’ product returns; importantly, the research emphasizes the multidimensionality of post-purchase dissonance (i.e., cognitive and emotional dissonance) and their joint impact on customers’ intention to return. Moreover, the current study explores the impact of a large group of factors, including online reviews, product-related factors, and shopper-related factors on product returns through the dual mechanisms. Regarding online review factors, the results highlight the critical roles of aggregated indicators (i.e., review consistency) and individual review content (i.e., emotions expressed in reviews) in affecting customers’ return intention, through the mediation of cognitive dissonance and emotional dissonance. Significant effects are also identified between product-related factors (e.g., price) and negative expectation disconfirmation, and between shopper-related factors (e.g., income) and post-purchase dissonance. theoretical and managerial implications of the findings are discussed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Anderson, R. E. (1973). Consumer dissatisfaction: The effect of disconfirmed expectancy on perceived product performance. Journal of marketing research, 10(1), 38–44.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Archak, N., Ghose, A., & Ipeirotis, P. G. (2011). Deriving the pricing power of product features by mining consumer reviews. Management Science, 57(8), 1485–1509.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Babić Rosario, A., Sotgiu, F., De Valck, K., & Bijmolt, T. H. (2016). The effect of electronic word of mouth on sales: A meta-analytic review of platform, product, and metric factors. Journal of Marketing Research, 53(3), 297–318.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Bailey, A. A. (2005). Consumer awareness and use of product review websites. Journal of Interactive Advertising, 6(1), 68–81.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Bian, Q., & Forsythe, S. (2012). Purchase intention for luxury brands: A cross cultural comparison. Journal of Business Research, 65(10), 1443–1451.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Bui, M., Krishen, A. S., & Bates, K. (2011). Modeling regret effects on consumer post-purchase decisions. European Journal of Marketing, 45(7/8), 1068–1090.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Carlson, J. R., & Zmud, R. W. (1999). Channel expansion theory and the experiential nature of media richness perceptions. Academy of Management Journal, 42(2), 153–170.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Cheung, C. M., & Thadani, D. R. (2012). The impact of electronic word-of-mouth communication: A literature analysis and integrative model. Decision Support Systems, 54(1), 461–470.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Cheung, M. Y., Luo, C., Sia, C. L., & Chen, H. (2009). Credibility of electronic word-of-mouth: Informational and normative determinants of online consumer recommendations. International Journal of Electronic Commerce, 13(4), 9–38.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Cheung, C. M., & Thadani, D. R. (2010). The effectiveness of electronic word-of-mouth communication: A literature analysis. Proceedings of 23rd Bled eConference, Bled, Slovenia.

  11. Chevalier, J. A., & Mayzlin, D. (2006). The effect of word of mouth on sales: Online book reviews. Journal of Marketing Research, 43(3), 345–354.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Chevalier, S. (2021a). Global retail e‐commerce sales 2014‐2024. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/379046/worldwide-retail-e-commerce-sales. Accessed on June 28, 2022.

  13. Chevalier, S. (2021b). Key figures on the impact of retail returns in the U.S. 2019–2020. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1262194/key-figures-impact-retail-returns-united-states/. Accessed on June 28, 2022.

  14. Connolly, T., & Zeelenberg, M. (2002). Regret in decision making. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 11(6), 212–216.

  15. Cummings, W. H., & Venkatesan, M. (1975). Cognitive dissonance and consumer behavior: A review of the evidence. Advances in Consumer Research, 2(1), 21–32.

    Google Scholar 

  16. Daft, R. L., & Lengel, R. H. (1986). Organizational information requirements, media richness and structural design. Management Science, 32(5), 554–571.

  17. Davis, A., & Khazanchi, D. (2008). An empirical study of online word of mouth as a predictor for multi-product category e-commerce sales. Electronic Markets, 18(2), 130–141.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. De, P., Hu, Y., & Rahman, M. S. (2013). Product-oriented web technologies and product returns: An exploratory study. Information Systems Research, 24(4), 998–1010.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Dodds, W. B., Monroe, K. B., & Grewal, D. (1991). Effects of price, brand, and store information on buyers’ product evaluations. Journal of Marketing Research, 28(3), 307–319.

    Google Scholar 

  20. Dopson, E. (2021). The plague of e-commerce return rates and how to maintain profitability. Retrieved from https://www.shopify.com/enterprise/ecommerce-returns. Accessed on June 20, 2022.

  21. Ferry, D. L., Kydd, C. T., & Sawyer, J. E. (2001). Measuring facts of media richness. Journal of Computer Information Systems, 41(4), 69–78.

    Google Scholar 

  22. Festinger, L. (1957). A theory of cognitive dissonance. Stanford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  23. Filieri, R., Lin, Z., Pino, G., Alguezaui, S., & Inversini, A. (2021). The role of visual cues in eWOM on consumers’ behavioral intention and decisions. Journal of Business Research, 135, 663–675.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Forman, C., Ghose, A., & Wiesenfeld, B. (2008). Examining the relationship between reviews and sales: The role of reviewer identity disclosure in electronic markets. Information Systems Research, 19(3), 291–313.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Fornell, C., & Larcker, D. F. (1981). Evaluating structural equation models with unobservable variables and measurement error. Journal of Marketing Research, 18(1), 39–50.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., & Anderson, R. E. (1998). Multivariate data analysis: A global perspective (7th ed.). Prentice Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  27. Hennig-Thurau, T., Gwinner, K. P., Walsh, G., & Gremler, D. D. (2004). Electronic word-of-mouth via consumer-opinion platforms: What motivates consumers to articulate themselves on the Internet? Journal of Interactive Marketing, 18(1), 38–52.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Hong, Y., & Pavlou, P. A. (2014). Product fit uncertainty in online markets: Nature, effects, and antecedents. Information Systems Research, 25(2), 328–344.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Janis, I.L., & Mann, L. (1977). Decision making: A psychological analysis of conflict, choice, and commitment. Free press.

  30. Kaemingk, D. (2020). Online reviews statistics to know in 2021. Retrieved from https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/online-review-stats/. Accessed on June 28.

  31. Kautish, P., Sharma, R., & Khare, A. (2021). Multi-item scale development for online consumption emotion construct and psychometric evaluation for relationship marketing. Journal of Relationship Marketing, 20(2), 91–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Kim, J., & Gupta, P. (2012). Emotional expressions in online user reviews: How they influence consumers’ product evaluations. Journal of Business Research, 65(7), 985–992.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Kostyra, D. S., Reiner, J., Natter, M., & Klapper, D. (2016). Decomposing the effects of online customer reviews on brand, price, and product attributes. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 33(1), 11–26.

  34. Kozinets, R. V., De Valck, K., Wojnicki, A. C., & Wilner, S. J. (2010). Networked narratives: Understanding word-of-mouth marketing in online communities. Journal of marketing, 74(2), 71–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Kwark, Y., Chen, J., & Raghunathan, S. (2014). Online product reviews: Implications for retailers and competing manufacturers. Information Systems Research, 25(1), 93–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Lake, A. L. (2009). Consumer behavior for dummies. Wiley Publishing Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  37. Lange, J., Heerdink, M. W., & Van Kleef, G. A. (2022). Reading emotions, reading people: Emotion perception and inferences drawn from perceived emotions. Current Opinion in Psychology, 43, 85–90.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Lee, D. H. (2015). An alternative explanation of consumer product returns from the post-purchase dissonance and ecological marketing perspectives. Psychology & Marketing, 32(1), 49–64.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Li, J., & Zhan, L. (2011). Online persuasion: How the written word drives WOM: Evidence from consumer-generated product reviews. Journal of Advertising Research, 51(1), 239–257.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Li, M., & Choudhury, A. H. (2021). Using website information to reduce post-purchase dissonance: A mediated moderating role of perceived risk. Psychology & Marketing, 38(1), 56–69.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. Li, X., Ma, B., & Chu, H. (2021). The impact of online reviews on product returns. Asia Pacific Journal of Marketing and Logistics, 33(8), 1814–1828.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Liu, Y. (2006). Word of mouth for movies: Its dynamics and impact on box office revenue. Journal of Marketing, 70(3), 74–89.

  43. Ludwig, S., De Ruyter, K., Friedman, M., Brüggen, E. C., Wetzels, M., & Pfann, G. (2013). More than words: The influence of affective content and linguistic style matches in online reviews on conversion rates. Journal of Marketing, 77(1), 87–103.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Luo, C., Luo, X. R., Schatzberg, L., & Sia, C. L. (2013). Impact of informational factors on online recommendation credibility: The moderating role of source credibility. Decision Support Systems, 56, 92–102.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. MacKenzie, S. B., Podsakoff, P. M., & Podsakoff, N. P. (2011). Construct measurement and validation procedures in mis and behavioral research: Integrating new and existing techniques. MIS Quarterly, 35(2), 293–295.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Mardia, K. V. (1970). Measures of multivariate skewness and kurtosis with applications. Biometrika, 57(3), 519–530.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  47. Maslowska, E., Malthouse, E. C., & Bernritter, S. F. (2017). Too good to be true: the role of online reviews’ features in probability to buy. International Journal of Advertising, 36(1), 142–163.

  48. McKinney, V., Yoon, K., & Zahedi, F. M. (2002). The measurement of web-customer satisfaction: An expectation and disconfirmation approach. Information Systems Research, 13(3), 296–315.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  49. Minnema, A., Bijmolt, T. H., Gensler, S., & Wiesel, T. (2016). To keep or not to keep: Effects of online customer reviews on product returns. Journal of Retailing, 92(3), 253–267.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  50. Mudambi, S. M., & Schuff, D. (2010). Research note: What makes a helpful online review? A study of customer reviews on Amazon. com. MIS Quarterly, 34(1), 185–200.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  51. Oliver, R. L. (1977). Effect of expectation and disconfirmation on postexposure product evaluations: An alternative interpretation. Journal of Applied Psychology, 62(4), 480.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  52. Oliver, R. L. (1980). A cognitive model of the antecedents and consequences of satisfaction decisions. Journal of Marketing Research, 17(4), 460–469.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  53. Oliver, R. L., Balakrishnan, P. V. S., & Barry, B. (1994). Outcome satisfaction in negotiation: A test of expectancy disconfirmation. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 60(2), 252–275.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. Park, D. H., Lee, J., & Han, I. (2007). The effect of online consumer reviews on consumer purchasing intention: The moderating role of involvement. International Journal of Electronic Commerce, 11(4), 125–148.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  55. Park, I., Cho, J., & Rao, H. R. (2015). The dynamics of pre-and post-purchase service and consumer evaluation of online retailers: A comparative analysis of dissonance and disconfirmation models. Decision Sciences, 46(6), 1109–1140.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  56. Powers, T. L., & Jack, E. P. (2013). The influence of cognitive dissonance on retail product returns. Psychology & Marketing, 30(8), 724–735.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  57. Powers, T. L., & Jack, E. P. (2015). Understanding the causes of retail product returns. International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, 43(12), 1182–1202.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  58. Qiu, L., Pang, J., & Lim, K. H. (2012). Effects of conflicting aggregated rating on eWOM review credibility and diagnosticity: The moderating role of review valence. Decision Support Systems, 54(1), 631–643.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  59. Rosen, D. L., & Olshavsky, R. W. (1987). The dual role of informational social influence: Implications for marketing management. Journal of Business Research, 15(2), 123–144.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  60. Ruiz-Mafe, C., Chatzipanagiotou, K., & Curras-Perez, R. (2018). The role of emotions and conflicting online reviews on consumers’ purchase intentions. Journal of Business Research, 89, 336–344.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  61. Sahoo, N., Dellarocas, C., & Srinivasan, S. (2018). The impact of online product reviews on product returns. Information Systems Research, 29(3), 723–738.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  62. Sharifi, S. S., & Esfidani, M. R. (2014). The impacts of relationship marketing on cognitive dissonance, satisfaction, and loyalty: The mediating role of trust and cognitive dissonance. International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, 42(6), 553–575.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  63. Smith, A. (2021). Report: Ratings and reviews can markedly reduce returns. Retrieved from https://www.mytotalretail.com/article/report-ratings-and-reviews-can-markedly-reduce-returns/#:~:text=Experts%20estimate%20the%20average%20return,retailers%20%24550%20billion%20every%20year. Accessed on August 28, 2022.

  64. Srivastava, D., & Sharma, R. W. (2017). Developing a model for studying the antecedents and effects of Word of Mouth (WoM) and e-WoM marketing based on literature review. Jindal Journal of Business Research, 6(1), 25–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  65. Sun, M., Chen, J., Tian, Y., & Yan, Y. (2021). The impact of online reviews in the presence of customer returns. International Journal of Production Economics, 232(2), 207929.

  66. Sweeney, J. C., Hausknecht, D., & Soutar, G. N. (2000). Cognitive dissonance after purchase: A multidimensional scale. Psychology & Marketing, 17(5), 369–385.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  67. Sweeney, J. C., Soutar, G. N., & Mazzarol, T. (2012). Word of mouth: Measuring the power of individual messages. European Journal of Marketing, 46(1/2), 237–257.

  68. Thomas, M. J., Wirtz, B. W., & Weyerer, J. C. (2019). Determinants of online review credibility and its impact on consumers’ purchase intention. Journal of Electronic Commerce Research, 20(1), 1–20.

    Google Scholar 

  69. Tsiros, M., & Mittal, V. (2000). Regret: A model of its antecedents and consequences in consumer decision making. Journal of Consumer Research, 26(4), 401–417.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  70. Verma, D., & Dewani, P. P. (2020). eWOM credibility: A comprehensive framework and literature review. Online Information Review, 45(3), 481–500.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  71. Wang, F., & Karimi, S. (2019). This product works well (for me): The impact of first-person singular pronouns on online review helpfulness. Journal of Business Research, 104, 283–294.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  72. Xiao, L., & Li, Y. (2019). Examining the effect of positive online reviews on consumers’ decision making: The valence framework. Journal of Global Information Management (JGIM), 27(3), 159–181.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  73. Yang, Z., Cai, S., Zhou, Z., & Zhou, N. (2005). Development and validation of an instrument to measure user perceived service quality of information presenting web portals. Information & Management, 42(4), 575–589.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  74. Yin, D., Bond, S. D., & Zhang, H. (2014). Anxious or angry? Effects of discrete emotions on the perceived helpfulness of online reviews. MIS Quarterly, 38(2), 539–560.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  75. Zhang, K. Z., Zhao, S. J., Cheung, C. M., & Lee, M. K. (2014). Examining the influence of online reviews on consumers’ decision-making: A heuristic-systematic model. Decision Support Systems, 67, 78–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  76. Zhu, F., & Zhang, X. (2010). Impact of online consumer reviews on sales: The moderating role of product and consumer characteristics. Journal of Marketing, 74(2), 133–148.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) of Canada under Grant No. 430-2018-00262.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yun Wang.

Ethics declarations

Competing Interests

The authors report there are no competing interests to declare.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Wang, Y., Yu, B. & Chen, J. Factors affecting customer intention to return in online shopping: the roles of expectation disconfirmation and post-purchase dissonance. Electron Commer Res (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10660-023-09769-3

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10660-023-09769-3

Keywords

Navigation