Abstract
Background and aims
Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization combined with lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors (triple therapy) exhibits promising efficacy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). We aimed to evaluate the prognosis of patients with uHCC who received triple therapy and develop a prognostic scoring model to identify patients who benefit the most from triple therapy.
Methods
A total of 246 patients with uHCC who received triple therapy at eight centers were included and assigned to the training and validation cohorts. Prognosis was evaluated by the Kaplan–Meier curves. The prognostic model was developed by utilizing predictors of overall survival (OS), which were identified through the Cox proportional hazards model.
Results
In the training cohort, the 3-year OS was 52.0%, with a corresponding progression-free survival (PFS) of 30.6%. The median PFS was 13.2 months [95% confidence interval, 9.7–16.7]. Three variables (total bilirubin ≥ 17 μmol/L, alpha-fetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/mL, and extrahepatic metastasis) were predictors of poor survival and were used for developing a prognostic model (TAE score). The 2-year OS rates in the favorable (0 points), intermediate (1 point), and dismal groups (2–3 points) were 96.9%, 61.4%, and 11.4%, respectively (p < 0.001). The PFS was also stratified according to the TAE score. These findings were confirmed in an external validation cohort.
Conclusions
Triple therapy showed encouraging clinical outcomes, and the TAE score aids in identifying patients who would benefit the most from triple therapy.
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Data availability
Data that support the findings of this study are available from the authors upon request.
Abbreviations
- AFP:
-
Alpha-fetoprotein
- AUC:
-
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve
- CI:
-
Confidence interval
- CR:
-
Complete response
- DCR:
-
Disease control rate
- ECOG-PS:
-
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status
- HBV:
-
Hepatitis B virus
- HCC:
-
Hepatocellular carcinoma
- ICI:
-
Immune checkpoint inhibitor
- MDT:
-
Multidisciplinary team
- mRECIST:
-
Modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors
- ORR:
-
Objective response rate
- OS:
-
Overall survival
- PD:
-
Progressive disease
- PFS:
-
Progression-free survival
- PR:
-
Partial response
- SD:
-
Stable disease
- TACE:
-
Transarterial chemoembolization
- TBil:
-
Total bilirubin
- TRAEs:
-
Treatment-related adverse events
- uHCC:
-
Unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma
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Funding
This study was funded by the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province (Grant number: 2022J011021) and the Medical Innovation Project of Health and Family Planning Commission of Fujian Province (Grant number: 2022CXA002).
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Conceptualization: Z-XZ, J-YW, S-WZ, and M-LY; Data curation: Z-XZ, J-YW, J-YW, Y-NL, Y-KF, Z-BZ, D-YL, HL, and X-YO; Investigation: Y-NL, Y-KF, D-YL, HL, and X-YO; Visualization: Z-XZ and J-YW; Writing—original draft: Z-XZ and J-YW; Writing—review and editing: S-WZ and M-LY; Project administration: J-YW and Z-BZ; Supervision: S-WZ and M-LY; Funding acquisition: M-LY. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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Zhen-Xin Zeng, Jia-Yi Wu, Jun-Yi Wu, Yi-Nan Li, Yang-Kai Fu, Zhi-Bo Zhang, De-Yi Liu, Han Li, Xiang-Ye Ou, Shao-Wu Zhuang and Mao-Lin Yan have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.
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This study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Review Board of Fujian Provincial Hospital, approval number K2022-12-042. Informed consent was obtained from all participants or their legal guardians to participate in the study.
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12072_2023_10613_MOESM1_ESM.tif
Supplementary file1 Figure S1. Patient flowchart. ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; uHCC, unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. (TIF 1045 KB)
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Zeng, ZX., Wu, JY., Wu, JY. et al. The TAE score predicts prognosis of unresectable HCC patients treated with TACE plus lenvatinib with PD-1 inhibitors. Hepatol Int 18, 651–660 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12072-023-10613-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12072-023-10613-x