Abstract
The prediction of water quality in urban rivers plays a crucial role in supporting water environment management. This study collected real-time water quality monitoring data from four stations in the Fenjiang River Basin of Foshan City, spanning from 2016 to 2021. Then the Wavelet Packet Denoising (WPD) technique was applied to reduce noise interference in historical monitoring data. Subsequently, a single-factor water quality prediction model was developed, which is based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), focusing on chemical oxygen demand (COD) and ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N). The results of this study demonstrate that the integration of WPD with LSTM, referred to as WPD-LSTM, outperformed conventional LSTM models in terms of predictive accuracy. Notably, the WPD-LSTM model exhibited superior performance in predicting the impact of COD and NH3-N on water quality in the Fenjiang River, surpassing the traditional LSTM model over a prediction period of 12 h and 3 days. In the 12-h prediction, the RMSE values of NH3-N predictions in the four monitoring sections decreased by 55% to 67%, and the RMSE values of COD predictions decreased by 18% to 51%.. In the 3-day prediction, the RMSE values of NH3-N predictions in the four monitoring sections decreased by 40% to 83%, and the RMSE values of COD predictions decreased by 50% to 69%. By employing the WPD-LSTM method, this study contributes to improving the precision of water quality prediction, thereby providing valuable insights for effective water environment management in urban river systems.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aloui S et al (2023) A review of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) studies of Mediterranean catchments: Applications, feasibility, and future directions. J Environ Manage 326:116799
Baek SS, Pyo J, Chun JA (2020) Prediction of water level and water quality using a CNN-LSTM combined deep learning approach. Water 12(12):3399
Beck MB (1987) Water quality modeling: a review of the analysis of uncertainty. Water Resour Res 23(8):1393–1442
Brown LC, Barnwell TO (1987) The enhanced stream water quality models QUAL2E and QUAL2E-UNCAS: documentation and user manual. United States Environmental Protection Agency. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235754236_The_enhanced_stream_water_quality_models_QUAL2E_and_QUAL2E-UNCAS_documentation_and_user_manual
Chen H, Zhang H (2014) Uncertainty in water quality predictions: The roles of data quality and model structure. J Hydrol 511:637–647
Chen P et al (2021) Assessing the impacts of recent crop expansion on water quality in the Missouri River Basin using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 13(6):e2020MS002284
Chen Y-C, Tseng C-H, Chen Y-T (2021) Modeling transmission of hexavalent chromium concentration and its health cost with a water quality analysis simulation program. Water Environ Res 93(9):1779–1788
Chen Z et al (2023) Review of water quality prediction methods. Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Water Resource and Environment 341:237–265. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-1919-2_17
Donoho DL, Johnstone IM (1994) Ideal spatial adaptation by wavelet shrinkage. Biometrika 81(3):425–455
Guo ZQ, Qiu DL (2017) The trend and cause analysis of the pollution of Foshan waterway. Journal of Foshan University (natural Science Edition) 35(04):43–46
Halder JN, Islam MN (2015) Water pollution and its impact on human health. Journal of Environment and Human 2(1):36–46
Hang X, Gao H, Jia S (2019) Assessment of water quality in Taihu Lake using a radial basis function network, structure index, and principal component analysis. Appl Ecol Environ Res 17(6):14241–14258. https://doi.org/10.15666/aeer/1706_1424114258
Hochreiter S (1991) Untersuchungen zu dynamischen neuronalen Netzen. Diploma Technische Universität München 91(1):31
Jiang J, Ri T et al (2019) Water quality management of heavily contaminated urban rivers using water quality analysis simulation program. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management 5(3):295–308. https://doi.org/10.22034/GJESM.2019.03.03
Khorram S, Jehbez N (2023) A Hybrid CNN-LSTM Approach for Monthly Reservoir Inflow Forecasting. Water Resour Manage 37(10):4097–4121. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-023-03541-w
Khullar S, Singh N (2022) Water quality assessment of a river using deep learning Bi-LSTM methodology: forecasting and validation. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29(9):12875–12889
Kumar DN, Raju KS, Sathish T (2004) River flow forecasting using recurrent neural networks. Water Resour Manage 18:143–161
Leong WC et al (2021) Prediction of water quality index (WQI) using support vector machine (SVM) and least square-support vector machine (LS-SVM). International Journal of River Basin Management 19(2):149–156
Lin J, Liu Q, Song Y, Liu J, Yin Y, Hall NS (2023) Temporal Prediction of Coastal Water Quality Based on Environmental Factors with Machine Learning. J Mar Sci Eng 11:1608. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11081608
Liu P et al (2019) Analysis and prediction of water quality using LSTM deep neural networks in IoT environment. Sustainability 11(7):2058
Mbuh MJ, Mbih R, Wendi C (2019) Water quality modeling and sensitivity analysis using Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASP) in the Shenandoah River watershed. Phys Geogr 40(2):127–148
Melching CS, Yoon CG (1996) Key sources of uncertainty in QUAL2E model of Passaic River. J Water Resour Plan Manag 122(2):105–113
Mendivil-García K et al (2022) Climate change impact assessment on a tropical river resilience using the Streeter-Phelps dissolved oxygen model. Front Environ Sci 10:903046
Meng X, Zhang Y, Qiao J (2021) An adaptive task-oriented RBF network for key water quality parameters prediction in wastewater treatment process. Neural Comput & Applic 33:11401–11414. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-020-05659-z
Moriasi DN et al (2015) Hydrologic and water quality models: Performance measures and evaluation criteria. Transactions of the ASABE 58(6):1763–1785. https://doi.org/10.13031/trans.58.10715
Mustiere F, Bolic M, Bouchard M (2009) Speech enhancement based on nonlinear models using particle filters. IEEE Trans Neural Networks 20(12):1923–1937
Nas SS, Nas E (2009) Water Quality Modeling and Dissolved Oxygen Balance in Streams: A Point Source Streeter-Phelps Application in the Case of the Harsit Stream. Clean: Soil, Air, Water 37:67–74. https://doi.org/10.1002/clen.200800107
Pang J et al (2022) Contamination Assessment and Source Analysis of Urban Waterways Based on Bayesian and Principal Component Analysis—A Case Study of Fenjiang River. Water 14(18):2912. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14182912
Pradhan P, Tingsanchali T, Shrestha S (2020) Evaluation of Soil and Water Assessment Tool and Artificial Neural Network models for hydrologic simulation in different climatic regions of Asia. Sci Total Environ 701:134308
Rinaldi S, Soncini-Sessa R (1978) Sensitivity analysis of generalized Streeter-Phelps models. Adv Water Resour 1(3):141–146
Rinaldi S, Soncini-Sessa R, Romano P (1979) Parameter estimation of Streeter-Phelps models. J Environ Eng Div 105(1):75–88
Roy DK (2021) Long Short-Term Memory Networks to Predict One-Step Ahead Reference Evapotranspiration in a Subtropical Climatic Zone. Environmental Processes 8(2):1–31. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-021-00512-4
Shi Q, Dong Z, Luo Y et al (2021) Evaluation and prediction of water quality of hongze lake based on machine learning method. China Rural Water and Hydropower 12:53–59
Sifuzzaman M, Islam MR, Ali MZ (2009) Application of Wavelet Transform and its Advantages Compared to Fourier Transform. Journal of Physical Science 13:121–134
Song C et al (2021) A water quality prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and the least squares support vector machine optimized by the sparrow search algorithm (VMD-SSA-LSSVM) of the Yangtze River. China Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 193(6):363
Wang Q, Yang Z (2016) Industrial water pollution, water environment treatment, and health risks in China. Environ Pollut 218:358–365. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2016.07.011
Wang H, Chao M et al (2021) Current status and prospects of the treatment of urban water-related problems in China. China Water Resources 14:4–7
Wang X et al (2021) Predicting water quality during urbanization based on a causality-based input variable selection method modified back-propagation neural network. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28:960–973
Wang Z, Si Y, Chu H (2022) Daily Streamflow Prediction and Uncertainty Using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Network Coupled with Bootstrap. Water Resour Manage 36(12):4575–4590. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-022-03264-4
Yahya A, Saeed A et al (2019) Water quality prediction model based support vector machine model for ungauged river catchment under dual scenarios. Water 11(6):1231
Yan J et al (2019) Application of a hybrid optimized BP network model to estimate water quality parameters of Beihai Lake in Beijing. Applied Sciences 9(9):1863
Yan J et al (2021) Water quality prediction in the Luan River based on 1-DRCNN and BiGRU hybrid neural network model. Water 13(9):1273
Ye Q et al (2019) River water quality parameters prediction method based on LSTM-RNN model. 2019 Chinese Control And Decision Conference (CCDC). IEEE:3024–3028. https://doi.org/10.1109/CCDC.2019.8832885
Zhang Z, Zhang T, Wang J (2016) Impacts of data quality on the calibration and validation of water quality models: A case study in the Luhun Reservoir China. Environ Monit Assess 188(3):165
Zhang Y et al (2022) Accurate prediction of water quality in urban drainage network with integrated EMD-LSTM model. J Clean Prod 354:131724
Zhu D, Du J, Ou Y et al (2020) Investigation and Analysis of Water Quality in Zhongshan Park Section of Fenjiang River in Foshan City. Guangdong Chemical Industry 47(19):115–116+101
Acknowledgements
This research was funded by the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (2023B1515040028), and the Guangzhou Bureau of Hydrology project “Research on the mechanism of hydro-ecological dynamics in a typical river network area”.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Conceptualization, J.P. and K.L.; methodology, J.P.; software, J.P. and W.L.; validation, J.P.; formal analysis, J.P. and J.C.; investigation, J.P.; resources, J.P.; writing—original draft preparation, J.P. and J.C.; writing—review and editing, Z.Y., C.D. and K.L.; funding acquisition, C.D. and K.L. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Corresponding authors
Ethics declarations
Ethical Approval
All authors have seen and agreed with the contents of the manuscript.
Consent to Participate
All authors gave explicit consent to participate in this work.
Consent to Publish
All authors gave explicit consent to publish this manuscript.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Pang, J., Luo, W., Yao, Z. et al. Water Quality Prediction in Urban Waterways Based on Wavelet Packet Denoising and LSTM. Water Resour Manage 38, 2399–2420 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-024-03774-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-024-03774-3