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Prognostic value of cerebrospinal fluid tumor cell count in leptomeningeal disease from solid tumors

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Abstract

Purpose

Treatment decisions for leptomeningeal disease (LMD) rely on patient risk stratification, since clinicians lack objective prognostic tools. The introduction of rare cell capture technology for identification of cerebrospinal fluid tumor cells (CSF-TCs), such as CNSide assay, improved the sensitivity of LMD diagnosis, but prognostic value is unknown. This study assesses the prognostic value of CSF-TC density in patients with LMD from solid tumors.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with newly diagnosed or previously treated LMD from a single institution who had CNSide assay testing for CSF-TCs from 2020 to 2023. Univariable and multivariable survival analyses were conducted with Cox proportional-hazards modeling. Maximally-selected rank statistics were used to determine an optimal cutpoint for CSF-TC density and survival.

Results

Of 31 patients, 29 had CSF-TCs detected on CNSide. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) CSF-TC density was 67.8 (4.7–639) TCs/mL. CSF cytology was positive in 16 of 29 patients with positive CNSide (CNSide diagnostic sensitivity = 93.5%, negative predictive value = 85.7%). Median (IQR) survival from time of CSF-TC detection was 176 (89–481) days. On univariable and multivariable analysis, CSF-TC density was significantly associated with survival. An optimal cutpoint for dichotomizing survival by CSF-TC density was 19.34 TCs/mL. The time-dependent sensitivity and specificity for survival using this stratification were 76% and 67% at 6 months and 65% and 67% at 1 year, respectively.

Conclusions

CSF-TC density may carry prognostic value in patients with LMD from solid tumors. Integrating CSF-TC density into LMD patient risk-stratification may help guide treatment decisions.

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Data availability

The source data is available upon reasonable request to the corresponding author.

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Acknowledgements

We thank the University of Washington biostatistics consulting service for their input on statistical analysis, specifically thanking Taek Son, Ethan Ashby, James Peng, and Patrick Heagerty.

Funding

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

ABB, LPT, JJG, MB, LMH, YDT, VV: no conflicts of interest. BB: received salary and stock as an employee of Biocept. TM: Research funding: Biomimetix, Denovo Biopharma, Biohaven pharmaceuticals, Chimerix, Servier, Novocure, Vigeo. Advisory board: Servier. SSL: Member of Elekta Gamma Knife Icon Group, research support from Elekta (ended December 31, 2022), research support from Kuni Foundation, Hutchinson Center as Lead Academic Participating site, travel expenses for Japanese Society of Radiation Oncology, member of Board of Directors of Radiosurgery Society and Medical Director of Distinction in Practice in Stereotactic Radiotherapy Program, Assistant Councilor and Chair of CARROS Nominating Committee for American College of Radiology. JTY: Research funding: AstraZeneca, Kazia Therapeutics, Natera, Debiopharm, Cantex Therapeutics, Biocept; Consulting/Advisory Board: AstraZeneca, Debiopharm, Bayer, Galera Therapeutics, Nanocan Therapeutics, Plus Therapeutics, Merck

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Correspondence to Jonathan T. Yang.

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Barbour, A.B., Blouw, B., Taylor, L.P. et al. Prognostic value of cerebrospinal fluid tumor cell count in leptomeningeal disease from solid tumors. J Neurooncol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11060-024-04615-4

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