Introduction

Anthropogenic landscapes are extremely complex environments that, despite the intensity of human modifications that occur therein, can still host high levels of biodiversity (MacGregor-Fors et al. 2016; Hall et al. 2017; Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023b). Wildlife may persist in cities and agricultural areas, i.e. the most typical environments that replace natural ones due to human activities, usually in association with remnant green spaces. The latter can be areas with higher levels of naturalness (Sorace 2001; Robinson and Lundholm 2012), and great attention is increasingly being focused on the inclusion of such “wild” spaces—and species—particularly within cities (Aronson et al. 2017; Threlfall et al. 2017). Many species are in fact good indicators of healthy ecosystems, besides having effective roles in providing regulating, provisioning and cultural services, including fostering people's wellbeing. Urban development has been increasing in recent decades, particularly in the Mediterranean Basin, where many cities have experienced intense urbanization of the human population at the expense of natural and agricultural areas (García-Nieto et al. 2018). Nonetheless, several cities still harbor patches—remnants—of the habitats that were originally in the area e.g., by encompassing stretches of more natural territories. The role of these remnants as refugia for wildlife is well recognized, and yet still also hampered by the expansion of urban development, leading to both habitat loss and fragmentation; this has negative effects particularly for poorly mobile species and on those depending upon specific resources and narrow environmental conditions (Grimm et al. 2008; New 2015; Ancillotto and Labadessa 2023). Consequently, functional connectivity among green spaces is usually key to maintaining vital populations of urban wildlife e.g., by fostering and sustaining meta-population dynamics, particularly with the surrounding natural areas that may play as a source of individuals (Lynch 2019; Kirk et al. 2023).

Butterflies have been widely studied in diverse ecological contexts, including urban and agricultural areas, as key elements of ecosystem functioning—by playing major roles in pollination and trophic chains—as well as being effective proxies of biodiversity as a whole, and of environmental health (Van Swaay and van Strien 2005; Feest et al. 2008). Besides, several Lepidoptera are currently protected by the EU international legislation, being listed in Annexes II and IV of the Habitats Directive (HD), thus being recognized as important conservation targets at community scale. Many butterfly species are currently threatened by land use changes, and have reduced in numbers or went locally extinct, albeit several of these may still occur in anthropogenic contexts, when their key resources—e.g., host plants and foraging opportunities, persist (Koh and Sodhi 2004; Ramírez-Restrepo and MacGregor-Fors 2017).

Understanding the drivers of occurrence and/or persistence of threatened species in highly modified environments is key to fostering habitat management practices targeting their conservation i.e., to enhance the role of refuge played by well-conserved remnant green spaces (Jalkanen et al. 2020; Tarabon et al. 2020; Farooq et al. 2023). Potential habitat management practices may though greatly differ not only as a reflection of species’ preferences and ecological needs, but also in terms of the considered spatial scale. As an example, butterflies are known to respond to conditions at very different scales, e.g. from local availability of larval host plant and adult foraging (nectar) opportunities, to landscape metrics such as dominant land cover types and functional connectivity, which in turn is influenced by species’ traits such as mobility and habitat preferences (Dover and Settele 2009; Han et al. 2022). Such complex interplay among site, landscape and species’ traits in shaping the occurrence and survival of butterflies—as of many other taxa—make their conservation particularly challenging—and yet urgent—in highly modified environments such as cities (e.g. Piccini et al. 2022).

Here we focus on the Italian festoon (Zerynthia cassandra), an EU-wide protected butterfly characterized by relatively low adult mobility and a high host-plant specialization; as such, even small patches of suitable habitat may actually represent a profitable resource to this species, at least potentially. Conversely, the same traits may hinder the species’ ability to persist in highly fragmented landscapes due to the difficulties of maintaining the functional connectivity among isolated populations or suitable habitat patches (Öckinger et al. 2009). We thus used Z. cassandra as a model to assess suitability of urban networks of green spaces, and identify environmental drivers of occurrence of endangered butterflies in anthropogenic landscapes, integrating a set of environmental characteristics measured at the habitat patch scale. More specifically, we aim to 1) assess whether urban and peri-urban green areas may actually prove profitable to Z. cassandra, and 2) disentangle the effects of environmental factors at different scales in driving the occurrence of Z. cassandra.

Materials and methods

Study areas and species

We conducted our study in two anthropogenic landscapes in central-southern Italy, the urbanized areas of the cities of Rome and Bari (Fig. 1), hereafter defined as study “locations”. Rome is the largest Italian city and one of the most ancient urban areas in Europe, hosting ca. 6 million inhabitants, while the city of Bari and its surroundings is among the largest and most populous urbanized territories in southern Italy, containing over 500,000 inhabitants. The locations considered in the present study (see below), each covering approximately 40,000 ha, are dominated by built-up surfaces comprising sparse to high-density districts, yet are also densely interspersed by a network of green spaces, including natural, semi-natural, recreational, and agricultural areas. Climate is typically Mediterranean, with mean temperatures ranging from 18.9–31.7 °C in summer to 2.8–12.7 °C in winter, and precipitation concentrated in autumn–winter season.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Location of study areas in Italy and land cover maps (Rome: upper panel; Bari: lower panel). Potential sites of suitable areas for the Italian festoon (Zerynthia cassandra) are indicated by red dots on the left panels. Red triangles indicate location of study areas in Peninsular Italy

For both locations, as for many other Italian cities, most of their urban development occurred during the 40 years after the end of World War II, so that major land-use changes occurred between 1940 and 1980, and mainly consisted in the replacement of semi-natural and agricultural areas with built-up surfaces. Natural and semi-natural vegetation is mostly limited to landscape portions that have been spared from deep land modifications since historical times, as in the case of large protected private properties (e.g., the villas in Rome), or as a consequence of locally rough geomorphology (e.g., the lame of Bari). For this study, we considered the territory encompassed by the great ring road (“Grande Raccordo Anulare”) as the focal location in Rome, and the semi-circular basin of the erosional streams encompassing the city of Bari, thus considering—in both cases – a surface of approximately 350 square kilometers in size (Fig. 1).

The study species, Zerynthia cassandra, is a single-brooded species associated with host plants of the genus Aristolochia (Camerini et al. 2018; Cini et al. 2019, 2021; Cagnetta et al. 2020). Despite being not strictly associated to specific habitat types, Z. cassandra favors open and semi-open areas such as dry grasslands, meadows and forest clearings, that provide wide foraging opportunities to adults; nonetheless, the species needs in terms of level of insolation of the oviposition sites and larval host plants are highly specific (Camerini et al. 2018; Ghesini et al. 2018). In particular, the species is strictly dependent upon Aristolochia rotunda, in Rome, and A. clusii, in Bari, for oviposition and larval development. Recent studies provided important insights on the very limited dispersal abilities of Z. cassandra (Vovlas et al. 2014; Cini et al. 2019), also underlining its marked susceptibility to extinction due to micro-habitat changes (e.g., disappearance of the host plant, and grassland encroachment: Bonelli et al. 2011; Camerini et al. 2018; Ghesini et al. 2018). Zerynthia cassandra is listed—together with the congeneric Z. polyxena—in Annex IV of the EU Habitats Directive (43/92/EEC) and in the Appendix II of the Bern Convention; it is considered as a declining species (Ghesini et al. 2018), with local extinctions being documented (Descimon 1996; Bonelli et al. 2011).

Given its ecological needs, Z. cassandra is potentially – and directly – affected by urbanization, by means of the disappearance of host plant populations and the replacement of the dry open areas needed for foraging with built-up surfaces or intensively managed vegetation.

Data collection

We retrieved all occurrences available for the focal species from both locations, namely Z. cassandra and its host Aristolochia plants. Occurrences were collected from i) published literature (atlases, papers, and reports); ii) iNaturalist.org, and iii) authors’ own data recorded in the field, while systematically screening both study areas during February-June 2023. Namely, we inspected for adults, eggs and larvae all sites with recent and historical records of either the host plant and/or Z. cassandra 2–4 times in 2023, in order to confirm the occurrence of the target species. Sites with no recent confirmation of the plant were excluded from the analyses, while those with no confirmation for Z. cassandra were considered as currently non-occupied by the species (e.g., due to local extinction; N = 2). We only kept observations that had coordinates and did not have geospatial issues (as defined by the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (https://data-blog.gbif.org/post/issues-and-flags/). We removed possible duplicates from analyses by removing any observations that had the same date, latitude, and longitude.

The approach we adopted for locating and mapping occurrence sites of Aristolochia patches mainly relies upon publications exhaustively mapping the flora of both locations, thus representing a comprehensive picture of the actual distribution of the species in our study area (Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023b; Celesti 1995).

Site attributes

To quantify habitat quality at sites suitable to Z. cassandra, we first built 200 m buffers around each occurrence record of Aristolochia, as corresponding to the known maximum distance moved within oviposition sites by this butterfly (Vovlas et al. 2014). Whenever two or more buffers of adjacent occurrences overlapped, we merged the buffers and considered the resulting surface as a single suitable “site”. Based on field surveys and interpretation of most recent available orthophotos, we classified site land covers using seven classes, according to their naturality and a combination of vegetation structure (open or woody) and abiotic features (dry or wet), i.e. anthropogenic, open agricultural, woody agricultural, dry open semi-natural, wet open semi-natural, dry woody semi-natural, wet woody semi-natural. For each suitable site, we also considered host plant abundance i.e., the size (in m2) of Aristolochia patches, as a cumulative measure of the maximum spreading surfaces of plant clusters (see also Cini et al. 2019). Therefore, we characterized sites according to 1) land cover composition (see below) within the considered buffer, 2) land cover diversity, as Shannon’s index (H’) of land cover classes, and 3) host plant abundance.

To classify landscape connectivity, we built a land cover map by combining the most recent high-resolution layers provided by the European Copernicus Programme (https://land.copernicus.eu/pan-european/high-resolution-layers), featuring 10 m resolution raster mapping of forests, grasslands, water and impervious surfaces. We then reclassified land cover into four classes ecologically meaningful to butterflies, namely:

  • Grasslands (including meadows, natural and semi-natural grasslands, discontinuous scrubland);

  • Broadleaved (areas covered in broadleaved trees and shrub);

  • Agricultural surfaces (also including other intensively managed surfaces, e.g. conifer plantations, lawns and recreational parks);

  • Impervious surfaces and water (buildings, roads and permanent water surfaces).

Based on expert opinion and following the approach of Rochat et al. (2017), we built a resistance map by assigning a relative resistance value to each land cover class across both locations, as a function of the capacity of Z. cassandra to cross each type of land cover. Zerynthia cassandra is a butterfly associated with mosaic vegetation and forest edges, especially open and sunny vegetation-covered areas, so we attributed the lowest resistance values to grasslands (resistance = 1) and broadleaved forests (resistance = 2). Agricultural areas are not a barrier per se, but do not offer foraging possibilities to dispersing adults, and are therefore poorly attractive for butterflies (resistance = 5). Water surfaces, buildings, roads and other impervious surfaces can still be potentially crossed but are not vegetated and not necessarily open, and will therefore probably not be adopted by adult Z. cassandra as dispersal corridors (resistance = 10). Based on these resistance values, we produced a resistance map by rasterizing the land cover vectors and assigning to each pixel of the land cover map the corresponding resistance value. We then quantified the functional connectivity among sites by computing a cost-distance matrix, indicating the potential cost of moving from a site to another. The dispersal cost was quantified as the cumulative resistance value of the least-cost path between each pair of sites. We thus used the Least-Cost Path plugin for QGIS 3.30.3 to identify the least cost path (LCP) between a site and all the others, separately for each study area. We then selected the path with lowest cumulative cost value for each site, as a proxy of its functional connectivity for Z. cassandra. As a last connectivity index, for each site we also measured the linear distance (in km) to the closest available site.

Statistical analyses

We first summarized information on land cover composition within the considered buffers by running a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) based on a Bray–Curtis dissimilarity matrix upon the percent amounts of each of the seven land cover classes considered. This resulted in the first component (PC1) explaining > 70% of the total variance, so we kept PC1 scores as a proxy of land cover composition. More specifically, and according to loading values, the variables mainly contributing to PC1 were dry woody natural vegetation (-0.619), woody agricultural (0.583), and dry open semi-natural (0.453) vegetation, with lower – all negative – values featured by the remaining classes (loading values range between -0.001 and -0.218). Differences between sites occupied or not by Z. cassandra were then furtherly explored by running a one-way PERMANOVA test, followed by a Similarity Percentage test (SIMPER) to assess the role of each land cover class in differentiating occupied and non-occupied sites. All these analyses were run with Past ver. 4.15, with default settings (Hammer et al. 2001).

We then modeled the probability of occurrence of Z. cassandra at site level as a function of site attributes, by running a Generalized Linear Model (GLM) with binomial error structure and logit link function. Namely, we used the occurrence of Z. cassandra as binary response variable (present = 1, absent = 0), and site attributes as explaining variables. All variables were first checked for covariation by performing Pearson correlation tests, yet no combination of variables featured a correlation coefficient >|0.5|, so that all variables were retained.

We built a full model including all variables i.e., land cover composition, site size, LCP cost, linear distance to closest site (LCP length), host plant abundance, location (categorical, N = 2), and land cover diversity (H); we did not consider interactions among variables. We then performed a backward stepwise model selection based on AICc values, by running the dredge function from the MuMIn package for R (Barton and Barton 2015). We considered all models valid with ΔAICc < 2 from the best performing model; we then assessed variable importance by following a model averaging approach and calculating estimate average values (using the model.avg function upon the subset of valid models).

Results

We identified 54 sites potentially suitable to Z. cassandra (Fig. 1) as featuring the presence of host plants of the genus Aristolochia, namely A. rotunda from Rome (N = 23), and A. clusii from Bari (N = 31). Of these sites, 34.8 and 25.8% were actually occupied by Z. cassandra, respectively (N = 8 in each of the areas).

Occupied and non-occupied sites significantly differed in their land use composition (PERMANOVA p = 0.024, F = 3.309), with dry woody semi-natural vegetation and dry open vegetation explaining 22.6 and 22.1% of the total difference respectively and being both more represented in occupied sites, followed by anthropic vegetation (20.7% contribution), being more represented in non-occupied sites. Each of all other land cover classes explained < 15% of observed differences.

Model selection identified 8 valid models out of 128 tested variable combinations, cumulatively retaining all of the seven variables considered. Namely, site area, location, LCP cost and land cover composition were featured in all valid models, landcover diversity, LCP length and host plant abundance in 2 models. (Table 1). Model averaging upon all valid models though reported as significant (p < 0.05 and CI not encompassing 0) only LCP cost, site size, host plant abundance, and land cover composition (Table 2), while LCP length and Location were non-significant.

Zerynthia cassandra was significantly more likely to occur at Aristolochia sites with low LCP cost values (Fig. 2), i.e. functionally connected to other sites, as well as at sites showing higher host plant abundance (Fig. 2). A significant drop in the probability of occurrence of Z. cassandra was consistently evident for both locations at LCP costs >100, corresponding to approximately 1,000-1,200 meters of linear LCP length between closest adjacent sites (Fig. 3). Land cover composition also played a major role, mainly driven by differences in the amounts of dry semi-natural vegetation (both woody and open) showing a positive effect on Z. cassandra, and by anthropic vegetation exerting a negative effect (Fig. 4).

Table 1 Parameter estimates for retained variables of models (GLMs) explaining the probability of occurrence of the Italian festoon (Zerynthia cassandra) at potential sites (N = 54) in two urban landscapes in Peninsular Italy. Only models with ΔAICc < 2 from the best performing models are reported, together with model weight as indicator of fit
Table 2 Results of the Generalised Linear Model explaining the probability of occurrence of the Italian festoon (Zerynthia cassandra) at 54 urban sites in two urban landscapes of peninsular Italy as a function of least-cost path (LCP) cost values among sites, host plant (Aristolochia spp.) site size, land cover composition, location, and linear distance to closest site (LCP length)
Fig. 2
figure 2

Modelled probability of occurrence of the Italian festoon (Zerynthia cassandra) at 54 urban sites in two locations of peninsular Italy (Bari, N = 31; Rome, N = 23) as a function of a) least-cost path cost values among sites, b) least-cost path linear distance (in meters) between closest sites, c) site size (in ha), d) land cover diversity (H), e) host plant (Aristolochia spp.) abundance, and f) land cover composition. Black dots indicate observed data; shaded areas indicate 95% confidence intervals

Fig. 3
figure 3

Least-cost paths (a and c; dashed yellow lines) among sites (yellow circles) potentially suitable to Zerynthia cassandra in the urban landscapes of Rome (a-b) and Bari (c-d), in Italy. Actual habitats from Rome and Bari are also depicted (arrows indicate an oviposition site with Aristolochia rotunda (b) and an adult Z. cassandra in an urban site of Bari (d)

Fig. 4
figure 4

Probability of occurrence of the Italian festoon (Zerynthia cassandra) at 54 urban sites in two locations of peninsular Italy (Bari, N = 31; Rome, N = 23) as a function of land cover composition in terms of percent amounts of a) anthropic vegetation cover, b) dry woody vegetation cover, and c) dry open vegetation cover in a 200 m buffer surrounding potentially suitable sites. Black dots indicate observed data; shaded areas indicate 95% confidence intervals

Discussion

Can urban habitats host Z. cassandra?

Our results indicate that an endangered, highly specialized butterfly of conservation concern such as Z. cassandra may persist in heavily anthropized areas, such as the big cities where we conducted our study, provided that patches of suitable habitat - comprising key resources such as host plants and foraging opportunities to adults - are present, and that such sites are functionally connected to each other. The large urban areas where our study was set differ in some ecological and urbanistic characteristics, and yet the lack of significance of the location variable suggests that the environmental factors we considered were successful in capturing their ecological differences. In fact, biogeographical and urbanistic factors of Rome and Bari make their urban and peri-urban green spaces rather different, yet both capable of hosting populations of the endangered Z. cassandra: Rome’s longest history and intermittent development has led the city to encompass many natural and semi-natural areas within the urban matrix, besides historical recreational parks such as Roman villas. Bari has instead developed from the Adriatic coast towards inner territories, resulting in the preservation of small natural remnants along riverbeds (lame) that stretch from the nearby Alta Murgia plateau down to the city center (Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023b). In both cases, such development patterns have produced a network of green spaces characterized by high ‘naturalness’, and provide vital habitats to wildlife (Planchuelo et al. 2019; Soanes and Lentini 2019; Ives et al. 2016). Such network of green spaces clearly offers profitable opportunities to those species that are not capable of directly exploiting urban or highly modified habitats (e.g., agroecosystems) (Ancillotto and Labadessa 2023), including Z. cassandra, as also evident by the spatial configuration of the network of suitable sites we found. Despite the rapidly changing conditions that usually characterize urban and peri-urban landscapes, the establishment of protected, natural or semi-natural areas and consequent urban planning restrictions provide relatively stable conditions within some of these green spaces, as also suggested by historical records of Z. cassandra at the same sites reported by our study, dating back to early 1900’s (reviewed by Zapparoli 1997). Several Zerynthia species have declined steeply across Europe (van Swaay et al. 2011), also in at least one of our study locations (Fattorini 2011), namely due to the dramatic land use changes associated with agricultural intensification and urbanization that replace the ecotonal habitats favored by Aristolochia plants, and the dry meadows that provide nectar resources in early spring. Both these factors are key to the survival of these species, and yet, surprisingly, Zerynthia butterflies seem to be able to persist in fragmented and deeply modified landscapes, including urban and suburban green areas, such as those from our case study.

Drivers of Z. cassandra occurrence

Functional connectivity to closest alternative sites was among the most important predictors for a patch of suitable habitat to be actually occupied by our target species Z. cassandra. Functional connectivity, as approximated by LCP cost, is known to have a major role in shaping meta-population dynamics in fragmented landscapes, and this may be particularly relevant in urban and intensive agricultural landscapes, where the matrix is particularly hostile to sensitive or specialized species (Öckinger et al. 2009; Soga and Koike 2012). Butterflies are mobile species able to disperse over longer distances than many similarly sized non-flying arthropods, yet Z. cassandra is known as a relatively weak flier, with individuals rarely traveling >200 meters (Vovlas et al. 2014). Nonetheless, it is also likely that even this species is able to occasionally travel longer distances and colonize novel suitable patches of host plants, if low-resistance paths between such sites exist. As an example, newly created habitat patches in an intensive agricultural matrix from northern Italy were spontaneously colonized by Z. cassandra in ca. 30 years after creation (Ghesini et al. 2019), with potential colonization distances being up to 8-15 km. Our results also suggest that, at least in the studied locations, Z. cassandra may perceive suitable sites as functionally connected at linear distances up to 1-1.2 km, at least if low-resistance corridors exist, furtherly suggesting that the species is able to move longer distances than currently known, at least occasionally.

Within suitable sites, the occurrence of Z. cassandra was strongly driven also by the abundance of its host plants, a result in line with those from more natural areas (Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023a), as well as from other studies on isolated populations of specialized butterflies, including other Zerynthia species (Ochoa-Hueso et al. 2014; Örvössy et al. 2014; Kajzer-Bonk et al. 2016; Nowicki et al. 2019). Aristolochia plants, namely A. clusii and A. rotunda, share some common ecological preferences, such as the frequent occurrence at ecotonal margins e.g., between broadleaved woody vegetation and grasslands, and relatively disturbed soils such as gravelous riverbeds and wild boar rooted sites (Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023a; Ghesini et al. 2018; Cini et al. 2021). Among the latter cases, wild boar rooting activity may prove an important driver of the preservation of disturbed soil patches and the consequent expansion of Aristolochia plants (Sims 2005; Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023a). Wild boar is expanding in urban areas worldwide (Melis et al. 2006; Stillfried et al. 2017), including within our study areas (Gaudiano et al. 2018; Pierucci et al. 2015) in recent years. As such, the ecosystem engineering activity provided by urban boars, and its potential effects on both Aristolochia and Z. cassandra habitat suitability in the near future, may deserve further attention. Moreover, little is known on the dispersal abilities of Aristolochia plants, yet - at least in our study locations - disturbance factors such as rooting (both areas) and seasonal flooding (along the lame in Bari) may play a relevant role in shaping patterns of local distributions by fostering plant dispersal.

Moreover, land use composition was also a key driver of site occupancy by Z. cassandra: occupied sites actually featured larger amounts of dry semi-natural vegetation cover, including both open and woody vegetation, and lower presence of synanthropic vegetation, both results in line with the ecological needs of this species (Ghesini et al. 2018). Zerynthia butterflies are in fact associated with early-flowering herbaceous plants - usually characterizing semi-natural dry grasslands (Hicks et al. 2016), as a foraging resource (see Labadessa and Ancillotto 2023a; Cini et al. 2019), in contrast to synanthropic vegetation, known to represent relatively poor nectar resource to pollinators in urban environments (Hicks et al. 2016; Lososová et al. 2006).

Conclusions

The potential role of urban and peri-urban areas as wildlife refuges has been long debated: while urban development clearly depletes natural habitats, thus threatening the wildlife populations occurring therein, a careful governance of green spaces inside and in the immediate surroundings of cities may still prove invaluable to preserve urban and peri-urban populations (Soanes and Lentini 2019). Urban green spaces in fact may suffer from very different threats and pressures than their natural counterparts, and may conversely be subjected to management practices that actually foster species’ persistence, including rare or endangered taxa. In the case of butterflies, most endangered species are those dependent upon semi-natural grassland habitats and ecotones (Maes et al. 2019), so that usual practices undertaken in urban green spaces, such as partial mowing and low-intensity agricultural activities (e.g., grazing and traditional wood crops), may represent essential factors fostering the maintenance of these key habitats (Moranz et al. 2012). Moreover, the involvement of citizens in the creation of suitable habitat patches (e.g., by planting host plants) may furtherly foster the conservation of endangered butterflies, at the same time decreasing the potential risk of illegal collection (Descimon 1996; Sands 2008).

The ability of butterflies to colonize (or persist inside) suitable sites - even though on rare occasions (Nowicki et al. 2014) - should not though be interpreted as a reason to not properly foster habitat connectivity outside sites (Graffigna et al. 2023). In our case, the ecological needs of Aristolochia plants, preferring ecotones and relatively disturbed soils, as well as the need of adult Zerynthia for early-flowering plant species in the immediate surroundings, make habitat conservation particularly challenging. The current lack of specific protection of the species’ favored habitats (despite that the European Habitats Directive indirectly protects the locations where listed species actually occur), and the obvious difficulties in mapping and quantifying ecotonal habitats and their peculiar conditions (Nowicki et al. 2013), make in fact ecotonal-specialized species highly challenging to conserve.

Moreover, further studies are needed to clarify whether, for low-mobility species such as Z. cassandra, urban populations represent demographic sinks or sources within meta-population dynamics, a key factor to be considered to properly manage and conserve populations in highly dynamic landscapes such as cities.