Abstract
Introduction
Neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NAST) is vital in the management of HER2-positive (HER2+) breast cancer. Nevertheless, the indications for NAST in tumors <2 cm remain controversial.
Method
A total of 7961 patients were screened from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result database. Independent prognostic factors were identified using multivariate Cox analysis. Subgroup analyses and Kaplan–Meier analyses were used to simulate whether NAST would provide a survival benefit with different high-risk characteristics. Nomograms were constructed, and an internal validation cohort was employed.
Results
Of the 7961 included patients, 1137 (14.3%) underwent NAST. In the total population, NAST was associated with poorer overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) (OS: P = 0.00093; BCSS: P < 0.0001). Multivariate Cox analysis confirmed that NAST markedly affected the prognosis of enrolled patients. Besides, a direct association between T, N, age, subtype, and prognosis was observed. Subgroup analyses yielded in these three subgroups, T1c, hormone receptor-negative, and 61–69 years of age, NAST and AST had comparable OS, while NAST possessed worse BCSS. Notably, even in the N3, we still did not observe any additional benefit of NAST. The calculated C-index of 0.72 and 0.73 confirmed the predictability of the nomograms. The AUCs exhibit consistency in the training and validation cohorts.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that NAST does not provide additional benefit to patients with T1 HER2+ breast cancer, even in the presence of lymph node metastasis, T1c, or hormone receptor negativity. This study facilitates the implementation of individualized management strategies.
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Data availability
The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-Medicare-linked data that support the findings of this study are available from the National Cancer Institute but restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under license for the current study, and so are not publicly available.
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Acknowledgements
We acknowledge the data support of the SEER program, as well as the Instrument Analysis Center of Xi’an Jiaotong University.
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This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
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All authors had full access to the data in the study and took responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Conceptualization, LD.C. and DD.L.; Methodology, XY.Z. and LY.D.; Investigation, XT.R., LD.C., and Q.H.; Formal Analysis, LD.C. and DD.L.; Resources, PN.L. and LY.D.; Writing—Original Draft, LD.C. and DD.L.; Writing—Review & Editing, H.W, XB.M. and HF.K.; Visualization, H.W.; Supervision, XB.M. and HF.K.; Funding Acquisition, XB.M. and HF.K.
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Chang, L., Liu, D., Zhao, X. et al. Can neoadjuvant systemic therapy provide additional benefits for T1 HER2+ breast cancer patients: a subgroup analysis based on different high-risk signatures. Clin Transl Oncol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12094-024-03472-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12094-024-03472-x