Abstract

This article is the second in a series devoted to the modification of the Map of Expected Earthquakes (MEE) method of medium-term earthquake forecasting. The description of algorithms for preparing and analyzing initial data and the results of their application are presented. In particular, the following additional functional capabilities have been achieved: (1) the creation of various computational grids for further spatial and temporal scanning of the earthquake catalog within the analyzed seismic active region, (2) the declustering of earthquake catalogs and evaluation of representative values of energy classes (magnitudes) in space and time, and (3) the evaluation of time interval length for calculating the background parameters of prognostic features. The overall result of successful scientific and technical work will be the creation of an upgraded method for medium-term earthquake prediction taking into account the spatial distribution of earthquake sources, the integrated use of physically based earthquake precursors, the results of seismic zoning in the form of a lineament–domain–focal (LDF) model, and other related areas of research.

中文翻译：

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修正的中期地震预报方法：预期地震地图。处理和分析初始数据

摘要

本文是致力于修改中期地震预报预期地震图 (MEE) 方法的系列文章中的第二篇文章。介绍了用于准备和分析初始数据的算法及其应用结果。特别是，已经实现了以下附加功能：（1）创建各种计算网格，用于对分析的地震活动区域内的地震目录进行进一步的空间和时间扫描，（2）地震目录的分簇和代表性地震目录的评估空间和时间上的能量类别（幅度）值，以及（3）用于计算预后特征的背景参数的时间间隔长度的评估。成功的科学技术工作的总体成果将是创建一种升级的中期地震预测方法，考虑到震源的空间分布、综合利用基于物理的地震前兆、地震区划的结果线性-域-焦点（LDF）模型的研究，以及其他相关的研究领域。