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Dynamic relationship between green bonds, energy prices, geopolitical risk, and disaggregated level CO2 emissions: evidence from the globe by novel WLMC approach
Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health ( IF 5.1 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-14 , DOI: 10.1007/s11869-024-01544-z
Mustafa Tevfik Kartal , Dilvin Taşkın , Serpil Kılıç Depren

This research analyzes the dynamic relationship between green bonds, energy prices, geopolitical risk, and CO2 emissions. In doing so, the study examines the global scale at disaggregated (i.e., sectoral) level, applies a novel time and frequency-based approach (i.e., wavelet local multiple correlation-WLMC), and uses high-frequency daily data between 1st January 2020 and 28th April 2023. In doing so, the study considers the potential differences among sectors. So, aggregated and disaggregated level CO2 emissions on sectoral bases are investigated. Hence, the study comprehensively uncovers the effect of the aforementioned indicators on global CO2 emissions. The results reveal that on CO2 emissions (i) the most influential factor is the geopolitical risk (2020/1–2021/5), green bonds (2021/5–2021/7), energy prices (2021/7–2023/1), and green bonds (2023/1–2023/4); (ii) the effects of the influential factors are much weaker (stronger) at lower (higher) frequencies; (iii) the effect of the influential factors change based on times and frequencies; (iv) however, the effects of the influential factors on CO2 emissions do not differ at aggregated or disaggregated levels. Overall, the results present novel insights for time and frequency-varying effects as well as both aggregated and disaggregated level analyses of global CO2 emissions.



中文翻译:

绿色债券、能源价格、地缘政治风险和分类二氧化碳排放水平之间的动态关系:通过新颖的 WLMC 方法从全球获得的证据

本研究分析了绿色债券、能源价格、地缘政治风险和CO 2排放之间的动态关系。为此,该研究在分类(即部门)层面上考察了全球规模,应用了一种新颖的基于时间和频率的方法(即小波局部多重相关 - WLMC),并使用了 2020 年 1 月 1 日之间的高频每日数据2023 年 4 月 28 日。在此过程中,该研究考虑了行业之间的潜在差异。因此,我们对部门基础上的汇总和分类的 CO 2排放量进行了调查。因此,本研究全面揭示了上述指标对全球CO 2排放的影响。结果表明,对CO 2排放影响最大的因素是地缘政治风险(2020/1-2021/5)、绿色债券(2021/5-2021/7)、能源价格(2021/7-2023/)。 1)、绿色债券(2023/1–2023/4);(ii) 影响因素的影响在频率较低(较高)时较弱(较强);(iii) 影响因素的影响随时间和频率而变化;(iv) 然而,影响因素对CO 2排放的影响在汇总或分类水平上没有差异。总体而言,研究结果对随时间和频率变化的影响以及全球 CO 2排放的汇总和分类分析提供了新颖的见解。

更新日期:2024-03-14
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